Friday, April 14, 2023

Puncak Niaga is grossly undervalued from its NTA, MRT3 finalization in 2H 2023 will be a boost

Blog https://targetinvest88.blogspot.com



About 10 years ago, Puncak is one of the favorite topics among the investor and trader due to the Selangor government water restructuring exercise where multiple water concession will be taken over by the state government, which includes Puncak water asset.

Fast forward the deal is signed at RM 1.56b.

While the deal is far lesser than many had thought, it still went through.

Puncak then buy out entire Triplc property and construction firm which will automatically inherit UITM building and campus expansion plan. It also expanded into 43k hectare of oil palm plantation in Sarawak.


While the company NTA is RM 2.89, the current share price of RM 0.25 is a far cry from the value of the NTA, which is not even 10% of the NTA.

Technical outlook on the short term indicate an uptrend, highlighted in green zone.
On the longer term outlook, the current price might had break away from a long term downtrend line.

Hence, there will be a good chance for Puncak share price to appreciate further in the short term outlook towards 30 cents.



With the current government retendering most of the infrastructure project from previous administration, there will be a good chance for Puncak to enhance their book order in Peninsula Malaysia as well as Sabah Sarawak.


The case of Puncak vs TS Khalid estate and Selangor state government

Based on experienced and learned people in the industry, while declining to comment into much detail, it is said that Puncak might have some chance to salvage something in compensation to the earlier disposal which might be deemed undervalued.

The current price of Puncak compared to it's NTA is very undervalued. Puncak upside tendency is good with supportive technical outlook and improving fundamental on business prospect. With government finalizing MRT3 costing in 2H 2023, construction sector will be in the look out by investor and trader for a bargain hunt.


IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed that I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.



Wednesday, April 5, 2023

Malton might see a special dividend prior to disposal of Pavilion Bukit Jalil for RM 2.2 billion

Blog https://targetinvest88.blogspot.com



One of the largest real estate transactions for the year 2023 will be the disposal of Pavilion Bukit Jalil for RM 2.2 billion to Pavreit. The transaction will finally see Malton Bhd cashing in the gain from the 51% joint venture of Regal Path Sdn Bhd, a subsidiary which holds the 50 acres prized shopping mall.


While the disposal of the shopping mall at book value RM 2.2 billion will result in the company losing money due to the cost of disposal and other related cost, it must noted that the price tag of RM 2.2 billion actually carries a profit of RM 200 million recognized earlier due to revaluation of the property.

In simple terms, Malton 51% ownership will see approximately RM 100 million of profit from the disposal process coming back to the company in the form of cash.

The payment term will be set out in the following manner





The full cash scenario will see RM 2.2 billion paid by cash, while the minimum cash scenario will be RM 1.6 billion in cash and RM 600 million worth in issuance of shares.


Pavilion Bukit Jalil started work in 2015. Loyal shareholder had held out from 8 years to see the fruit of the labour.




With the current share price lingering around RM 0.42 against the NTA of RM 1.87, there is certainly a big gap in the market price with the underlying value of the company. As the disposal of Pavilion Bukit Jalil is certainly to beef up the company cash level, there will be a very high chance to reward loyal shareholder with a special dividend as the last dividend Malton paid out is 2019.


Another catalyst for Malton will be the opening of Pavilion Damansara Height in May 2023.


I am obliged to inform you that I had invested in Malton due to 
1. Current share price is at steep discount to NTA, and cheaper than the price 10 years ago
2. Potential special dividend to reward shareholder from Pavilion Bukit Jalil