Showing posts with label Oil and Gas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oil and Gas. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 4, 2023

WASEONG TO BENEFIT FROM MORE OIL AND GAS PIPELINES JOB IN 2023


Happy new year 2023 to all my readers. May you continue to be blessed with good health and good wisdom for your investment journey.
2022 was a rough year for most of the investor as the market is very volatile with wars, geo-political tension, election, rising interest rate, covid lock down. However, one thing that is certain for 2023 is a very positive outlook from Petronas on the local and international oil and gas prospect. 
As we entered into a series of energy transition - towards cleaner energy, the current set up and infrastructure will slowly transit in stages with hydrogen as a core clean energy, and as an energy storage medium.
To achieve a cleaner energy production, an important aspect in the production of sour gas oil field (oil field with high CO2) will require carbon dioxide to be stored into depleted oil well instead of being released into the atmosphere. Another aspect of it will see the storing of CO2 into depleted oil well from the process of refining LNG into hydrogen.
All the method will require the installation of oil and gas pipe from production site into depleted storage well, which can run into more than 100 kilometers.
According to the Petronas 2023 to 2025 outlook activities, the required pipeline will run up to 11,000 kilometers.

Wah Seong Corporation Bhd (Waseong 5142) expertise in the oil and gas pipeline coating is the leading company in this niche industry. It has got a range of track record in the international presence, including the 1200 km long NORD STREAM 2.
In Feb 2022, Waseong announced RM 1 billion contract from EAST AFRICAN CRUDE OIL PIPELINE.
In Dec 2022, Waseong surprised the market with a topside module contract for YINSON FPSO worth USD 127 million.

However, there are still many other prospects for future project to be won by Waseong from the carbon capture and storage infrastructure.
1. Sarawak KASAWARI - site to storage approx 110km
2. Terengganu - blue hydrogen (CCS)

Waseong to see strong reversal on project impairment?
Waseong had in FYE 2021 impaired all the project that is being delayed due to oil price slump and covid19. However, all those projects in the middle east had since restarting slowly in stages.
The revival of project will be going to see massive reversal from the project impairment that runs up to more than RM 200 million.
On the technical outlook, Waseong does trade in technical points by looking at parallel lines created by 1 and 3, and project the parallel line to upwards spot 2 to predict the 4th spot.

The current upwards trend might signal a reversal on spot 3 (in green) heading towards spot 4 region.

After all, Waseong is fully impaired in its book, and do not have anything much to lose, but have everything to gain with a bright prospect in the oil and gas industry.
I am obliged to inform my readers that I owned Waseong shares. Currently at the price of RM 0.64, will it be a good entry point?

IMPORTANT NOTICE

Please be informed that I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.


Sunday, November 13, 2022

MUHIBAH LOOK SET TO SEE A BETTER YEAR AHEAD WITH ROBUST SPENDING IN OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY

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With GE 15 in just few days away, we pray that Malaysia will be in good hand of politician that are voted into power. I believe that foreign fund and investor will start to flock back into Malaysia when a new government is formed. Currently, sector that are attractive in Malaysia will be the oil and gas industry and the related supply chain.

As the world is pivoting away from dirty energy sources and heading into renewable and clean energy, Malaysia is sitting on the sweet spot to export excess clean energy production to energy hungry country like Japan, South Korea and China.

Today will be just touching on Project Safina and its potential effect to MUHIBAH (5703) MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING (M) BHD

As you can see from below, MUHIBAH provide vast range of business services support the oil and gas industry and other construction and energy industry as well.

The Project Safina is an initiative by Petronas to build 100 OSV in 4 years, replacing the current aging servicing ship. This project which is launched in 2019 got delay due to Covid19.

However, things are restarting back as global economy had pick up again with supportive crude oil prices to support the oil and gas industry.

Petronas invites bids for building of 16 OSVs | The Edge Markets


This round, all the ship will be built by local shipyard which are registered with AMIM (Association of Marine Industry of Malaysia)

Here are the member list of AMIM

MUHIBAH shipyard is one of the members.


There are many other shipyards that are registered with AMIM, amongst them is SYSCORP. The recent run up of SYSCORP share price could be very well reflecting the positive momentum from the busy ship building activities for the coming few years.




Building 1 ship alone will take 18 months to 24 months to complete. 

With a balance of 84 OSV yet to be tendered out, we can foresee shipyard will be busy for the next 5 years.


MUHIBAH is very attractive currently, looking at its prospect and the current price at RM 0.415
With the share price trading at the lowest level in history, the current price might see a sweet investment point as the oil and gas industry in Malaysia pick up next year.




IMPORTANT NOTICE

Please be informed that I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.





For latest information, can join us at

Telegram https://t.me/targetinvest88

Monday, February 7, 2022

Mclean heading for a better start in 2022 with new HDD customer order and oil and gas industry rebound

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It had been a rough ride for Mclean investor for year 2021. Share price of Mclean had saw a good 300% upswing before settling down around the range of 30 cents.

However, what is still keeping Mclean attractive in 2022 ?


1. HDD segment continue to see better demand in enterprise cloud storage solution.

Seagate, one of Mclean key customer had ramp up production for it's 20TB HDD production to meet mass data growth demand. This will directly improve key performance for Mclean



2. Mclean secured new customer with new orders for 2022

In a report sighted, Mclean had indicate on new customer secured for it's services in Thailand for precision cleaning and surface treatment. While it had not indicated which customer, the established HDD player in Thailand will be Seagate and Western Digital.



3. Revival in Oil and Gas industry

Oil and Gas industry had call for more capital investment and ramp up activity in order to meet the demand post covid-19, where economy had start to normalize. The activity in cryptocurrency is also pushing more usage in energy.

Mclean through it's subsidiary DWZ Industries Sdn Bhd is involve in precision cleaning and surface treatment for oil and gas customer. The higher activity ratio in the oil and gas industry will see more demand will contribute to DWZ Industries Sdn Bhd performance.


4. Mclean on a potential breakout with better fundamental outlook

Can Mclean make a cut above the resistant line in 2022 with better outlook from the HDD as well as O&G industry?



At the current price of RM 0.30, Mclean will definitely be a good watch out stock for year 2022.

IMPORTANT NOTICE

Please be informed that I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.


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Tuesday, November 2, 2021

Hengyuan Refining is at the right timing to capture the market boom on oil refining with big double digit margin in overall industry

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Oil price are rallying high, and will be expected to go higher. Oil refinery margins are going higher as the northern hemisphere of the earth enter into winter season.

With LNG gas at a tight supply and elevated high price, fossil oil had came into the picture. The reopening of the global economy after a series of Covid19 lockdown measure also continue to draw down on oil reserve in the US and China.

As an investor, what is there for you to capture the shifting of energy prices?

Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad (HENGYUAN - 4324) might be one of your consideration if you are looking to expose your investment in the oil and gas sector.

The pandemic from Covid19 had make prices very volatile, and had damage the demand of oil previously, hammering refinery margin into a tight spot. However, a series of global event had ensure that refinery company will be enjoying sweet margin at least for the next 6 months.

Source news from REUTERS

According to the news, refinery margin in Asia are hitting above USD 8 per barrel

Excerpt taken from the source news

REFINING MARGINS

Singapore complex refining margins, a proxy for refiner profitability in top oil consuming region Asia, hit their highest since September 2019 above $8 a barrel this month.

The margins had turned negative last year, plumbing a record low in May, as the pandemic eroded demand.

In Northwest Europe, refining margins topped $9 last week, the highest since April 2020, while U.S. Gulf Coast refining margins are currently around $14, up nearly three-fold from the same period a year ago, Refinitiv Eikon data shows.



Why Hengyuan refining will be all out in the balance month of 2021?

1. Demand for oil increase (transportation fuel - diesel, petrol)
2. Coal and natural gas supply crunch lead to higher price, power plant shift to oil as input to produce power.
3. Winter season in northern hemisphere of the earth
4. Hurricane Ida damage oil refinery capacity at US
5. Hengyuan to maximize refinery production before entering Year 2022 to save on Malaysian imposed prosperity tax for Year of Assessment 2022





The current price range had indicated that Hengyuan is rested at support line from the uptrend movement.

Technical rebound on the up trending line will potential see Hengyuan trading at RM 5.50. The uptrend movement is supported with brighter oil and gas investment sentiment. Fundamentally, it is backed with good refinery margin. Prospect of Hengyuan going for a big gain is very high.

The current price range below RM 4.30 will be a strategic entry to invest into Hengyuan to benefit from the booming refinery business.



HOW MUCH CAN HENGYUAN MAKE FROM THIS OIL REFINERY BOOM???

According to data, Hengyuan refinery capacity is 156000 barrel a day


Let's take refinery margin for HENGYUAN AT USD 9 per barrel.

156000 barrel x USD 9 x RM 4.15 (conversion) x 30 days = RM 174.8 million

Since we can expect the refinery margin to last for at least the coming 6 months, HENGYUAN POTENTIAL GROSS MARGIN EARNING for next 6 month can be as high as RM 1.05 billion.

That will be looking at a potential of 50 cents earning each for the next 2 quarters.

At the current price which is below RM 4.30, Hengyuan definitely look very attractive especially with the rising demand of oil and better oil refinery margin in play.



IMPORTANT NOTICE

Projection is based on estimation, and I am not responsible for the accuracy of the data provided. Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.



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Thursday, October 14, 2021

Is M&G Berhad a worthy bet at the current price with the current strong oil price recovery

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M&G BERHAD - 5078 is a listed company dealing in energy services by providing OSV (AHTS, SSV) and Oil Tanker logistic services. Formerly known as SILK HOLDINGS BERHAD, the company went through a series of restructuring including the disposal of Silk Highway, capital repayment and with the most recent being a debt restructuring process in 2020.


The covid19 pandemic had clawed the economy down, reduce a lot of capex into the energy sector for the past 2 years. However, as we are looking at a return to the normalization of the economy, and with the controlled oil production in the OPEC+ organization, global oil price is looking to push towards USD 100 per barrel for the WTI crude.




Currently, the WTI crude price had broken above the resistant line and the bull run is looking to see WTI touching USD 100 per barrel.


With the oil price outlook looking steady, is the current price of M&G a worthy bet for a position in the coming oil and gas theme play? 




M&G had 3 division

1. JASA MERIN (MALAYSIA) SDN BHD - 21 OSV vessel, comprises of 19 AHTS and 2 SSV

2. JASA MERIN (LABUAN) PLC - 7 Oil Tanker (Chemical tanker, Clean petroleum product)

3. JASA MERIN SHIP MANAGEMENT - For repair, maintenance or ship vessel.


Due to the impact of Covid19, the utilization rate for the vessel had dropped as oil price plunge. However, the oil price had since recovered and is now sitting at 5 years high.


At the surface outlook, you would think that M&G is a failed company as share price trade below 10, but what are the silver lining to make this company a potential gem to be polished.


1. Shareholder ownership

One of the major shareholder is executive chairman - Dato Mohammed Azlan bin Hashim. With 23.55% stake, Dato Mohammed Azlan bin Hashim is also sit in the board of director in Khazanah Malaysia. Other listed company directorship is IHH, Telekom Malaysia, and D&O GREENTECH Berhad.



2. Strategic ties with TERENGGANU STATE GOVERNMENT

JASA MERIN (MALAYSIA) SDN BHD is 70% owned by M&G berhad and 30% by TERENGGANU STATE GOVERNMENT. TERENGGANU is a state rich with oil and gas production at it's coastal area. The strategic ownership will be advantage for getting provision for OSV at PAC production operation which will benefit the group.



3. Energy supply crunch

China coal mine supply disruption due to flooding had turn energy demand into other resources such as LNG and Crude Oil. Upcoming winter season will also boost oil demand due to demand from heating.


Private placement for the way ahead?
M&G current outlook is good with oil price recovery and coming more demand for oil tanker chartering as oil production increases. However, it's current long term debt might be a question mark for investor.

Due to better prospect ahead, it is possible for M&G to undertake a private placement to pare down debt and for working capital.

If M&G is looking to raise RM 15 to 20 million from 10% private placement, the placement share would be looking to priced around 20 cents range

10% private placement from existing share base of 723m
72.3 million shares x 20 cents = RM 14.4 million


Hence at the current price, will M&G be a worthy bet ???




IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.




For latest information, can join us at