Thursday, October 14, 2021

Is M&G Berhad a worthy bet at the current price with the current strong oil price recovery

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M&G BERHAD - 5078 is a listed company dealing in energy services by providing OSV (AHTS, SSV) and Oil Tanker logistic services. Formerly known as SILK HOLDINGS BERHAD, the company went through a series of restructuring including the disposal of Silk Highway, capital repayment and with the most recent being a debt restructuring process in 2020.


The covid19 pandemic had clawed the economy down, reduce a lot of capex into the energy sector for the past 2 years. However, as we are looking at a return to the normalization of the economy, and with the controlled oil production in the OPEC+ organization, global oil price is looking to push towards USD 100 per barrel for the WTI crude.




Currently, the WTI crude price had broken above the resistant line and the bull run is looking to see WTI touching USD 100 per barrel.


With the oil price outlook looking steady, is the current price of M&G a worthy bet for a position in the coming oil and gas theme play? 




M&G had 3 division

1. JASA MERIN (MALAYSIA) SDN BHD - 21 OSV vessel, comprises of 19 AHTS and 2 SSV

2. JASA MERIN (LABUAN) PLC - 7 Oil Tanker (Chemical tanker, Clean petroleum product)

3. JASA MERIN SHIP MANAGEMENT - For repair, maintenance or ship vessel.


Due to the impact of Covid19, the utilization rate for the vessel had dropped as oil price plunge. However, the oil price had since recovered and is now sitting at 5 years high.


At the surface outlook, you would think that M&G is a failed company as share price trade below 10, but what are the silver lining to make this company a potential gem to be polished.


1. Shareholder ownership

One of the major shareholder is executive chairman - Dato Mohammed Azlan bin Hashim. With 23.55% stake, Dato Mohammed Azlan bin Hashim is also sit in the board of director in Khazanah Malaysia. Other listed company directorship is IHH, Telekom Malaysia, and D&O GREENTECH Berhad.



2. Strategic ties with TERENGGANU STATE GOVERNMENT

JASA MERIN (MALAYSIA) SDN BHD is 70% owned by M&G berhad and 30% by TERENGGANU STATE GOVERNMENT. TERENGGANU is a state rich with oil and gas production at it's coastal area. The strategic ownership will be advantage for getting provision for OSV at PAC production operation which will benefit the group.



3. Energy supply crunch

China coal mine supply disruption due to flooding had turn energy demand into other resources such as LNG and Crude Oil. Upcoming winter season will also boost oil demand due to demand from heating.


Private placement for the way ahead?
M&G current outlook is good with oil price recovery and coming more demand for oil tanker chartering as oil production increases. However, it's current long term debt might be a question mark for investor.

Due to better prospect ahead, it is possible for M&G to undertake a private placement to pare down debt and for working capital.

If M&G is looking to raise RM 15 to 20 million from 10% private placement, the placement share would be looking to priced around 20 cents range

10% private placement from existing share base of 723m
72.3 million shares x 20 cents = RM 14.4 million


Hence at the current price, will M&G be a worthy bet ???




IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.




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Friday, September 24, 2021

GUH is sitting at the sweet attractive position to capture the growth in semiconductor printed circuit board

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GUH - 3247 is a public listed company with business in Semiconductor segment (Printed Circuit Board), property development and waste water management. However, 90% of the revenue is contributed by the semiconductor (PCB) division.

The semiconductor segment continue to see good growth prospect as consumer electronics demands grow. The recent investment made by one of the largest PCB player in the world - SIMMTECH HOLDINGS CO LTD to invest in RM 508 million in Penang for a PCB plant had highlighted the potential of the growth in this sector.


Prior before this, there is a corporate move in the market that involve a takeover for BSLCORP which is also a player in the PCB sector.


As you can see, BSLCORP had risen greatly as the share price appreciate upwards on the prospect of the company which deal with semiconductors, PCB assemblies line.



As to date, at RM 2.20, BSLCORP commend a market capitalization of RM 216 million.




Another player - SCOPE also involved in PCB and plantation, had see market capitalization growing as share price see more interest



The market capitalization of SCOPE Industries Berhad is RM 403 million



After looking at the above 2 example, GUH could be seen as very undervalued at the current price of RM 0.47

The company had a NTA of RM 1.68. Balance sheet can be considered as fully impaired from the land and building issue arising from Suzhou, China.


The share price of GUH had not appreciated much, and it is still trading at the range of 50 cents after a series of sell down from weak market condition for the past 1 month.



At the current price, the market capitalization is only RM 132 million.


Moving forward, GUH will be seeing new factory at Yancheng, Jiangshu, China operating in full force for automotive electronics. 

Aside from this, they will also be receiving cash proceed from the force disposal of land and building back to the China state government in Suzhou.

At the current price below RM 0.50, GUH is very attractive to invest for long term.



IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.




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Thursday, June 17, 2021

PCCS shine out in FYE 2020 despite challenges from Covid19 pandemic

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As you had know, I had been invested into PCCS earlier this year because of several reasons.

I would summarized the reason I am invested into PCCS, or you can refer to my previous posting on PCCS as a research and referencing material for you to study in depth into PCCS.

My core pointers will be

1. PCCS is diversifying into MEDICAL HEALTHCARE TECHNOLOGY. The joint venture between PCCS and SHANGHAI SHENQI MEDICAL had been finalized, and grounds work are going on in bringing the product into the Asia Pacific market (Excluding China and Japan). The product mainly focus on heart related illness.

2. PCCS had been a accidental beneficiaries with the military coup in Myanmar, where apparel orders will divert to neighboring country. PCCS operation in Cambodia will benefit.

3. PCCS label and packing operation will be looking for a good turnaround with more positive development.

4. PCCS had entered into used car financing venture that will see consistent cashflow for the group.


PCCS had delivered Q4 2020 result in a fantastic manner despite being in the Covid19 pandemic.




PCCS deliver EPS 2.81 cents. Future revenue contributor will be used car financing and sales of medical technology product.



Technical outlook



On the technical outlook, PCCS can be seen trading at the bottom support line of the trading range. At the price range of RM 0.46, the share price is well supported.

RM 0.60 will be the resistant line. Breaking above RM 0.60 will signal a very positive uptrend to the share price.




IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.




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Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Cryptocurrency shift to farming on disk drive storage space are driving up demand for HDD and will benefit MCLEAN positively in the long run

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If you are my hardcore reader, you would have know that I am an avid investor of Mclean Technologies Bhd (Mclean - 0167).

Mclean had established itself as a strategic partner to Seagate by focusing it's resources at Thailand, which is Seagate main production house for data storage devices (HDD/SSD).

The recent market biggest hype cannot be short of cryptocurrency where many multi millionaire and billionaire start appearing as cryptocurrency start to surge into unbelievable amount.

The pioneer of all cryptocurrency - Bitcoin surged past USD 60k for 1 bitcoin last week.

1 of the major letdown on Bitcoin mining is the very high energy consumption to complete the Proof of Work. Very complicated mathematical puzzle are demanding more high powered ASIC / GPU to compute the solution in order to get rewarded with the bitcoin.

While the global leader are tackling on the issue on global warming, bitcoin energy consumption might not be so friendly in the long run. As an improvement to the cryptocurrency technology, a new coin which is based on Proof of Space and Time is now gaining traction globally.

Meet the new coin - Chia Coin



The Chia Coin launching had been gaining massive traction globally, and momentum are getting real when you start to see HDD/SSD getting sold out in certain region.










If that is not convincing you enough, Seagate share price is reflecting positively with strong upside



As we know that Mclean revenue from surface treatment and precision cleaning come from demand of HDD volume.

Since Seagate is going to ramp up production, we can comfortably expect Mclean to deliver revenue growth and better profit.

At the current price of RM 0.46, Mclean market cap is just RM 90 million.

The previous market correction and adjustment and the positive news development in HDD industry had definitely made Mclean a good attractive target for the long run.





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Wednesday, April 7, 2021

PCCS on an uptrend with positive business development

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If you had been following my investment blog, you would have know that I am invested into PCCS for several reasons.

1. PCCS garment operation to be able to see a strong growth of revenue which will be derived from the demand of orders running away from Myanmar due to the military coup. These orders will not be a one time off bonus, but will be recurring for the next possible 3 to 4 years until very structural reformed being seen in Myanmar that can lure the foreign investor back into the country.

2. PCCS label and packaging business should be able to gain traction and increase with more demand in packaging all over the world.

3. PCCS to diversify into healthcare technology sector, which is an evergreen segment going into the long run. Although the company is currently at it's MOU stages and had not signed into any definite agreement of exclusive partnership for exclusivity in product distribution, the outlook is very positive to see that PCCS will definitely not throw the towel, but making it happen. This is reinforced with the setting up of La Prima Medical in Singapore and Malaysia that is specially for the division of healthcare technology.

PCCS Medical Industry website



I had previously mentioned about PCCS and is invested in PCCS.




I will be looking to see PCCS growing further into a big company in the foreseeable future.


The technical outlook for PCCS is very good with convincing strong uptrend. Technical wise, it will be looking for a break out above RM 0.60 once final consolidation at the range of RM 0.57 is completed.



I have to inform all reader that I am invested in PCCS.



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Wednesday, March 24, 2021

PCCS garment manufacturing department to see windfall from Myanmar political coup which affect the garment industry supply

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We are heading into the 4th month of 2021, battling the Covid-19 pandemic for more than 1 year. The local market is finding it's new balance after a period of rebound, and I believe that a lot of major fund are reallocating their assets after a conclusion of financial year end 2020. Good performing companies will continue to see investment coming in, bad performing companies will see funds paring down their exposure.

The latest global news hitting the papers would be the escalating tension in the political situation in Myanmar. A coup d'etat in Myanmar started in the morning of 1st February 2021, when democratically elected members of Myanmar's ruling party, the NATIONAL LEAGUE FOR DEMOCRACY (NLD) were deposed by the Tatmadaw - Myanmar Military- which vested power in a stratocracy.

The situation had gone from bad to worse, and with the current outlook, from worse to worst. The tension had protestor going from attacking military into burning factories.

Myanmar is known for it's cheap labour for the global garment industry. The garment industry is valued at USD 6 billion (RM 24 billion) per annum. The current coup is starting to get fashion company in a scrambling effort to secure production supply elsewhere.


Source news during month of February 2021



Entering March 2021, protestor had began torching and burning garment factory.



Source 


HOW WILL THIS SITUATION TURN INTO MAJOR BENEFITS FOR PCCS IN THE NEXT COMING YEARS ?

Myanmar is one of the main production output for popular fashion wear companies such as H&M, Mark and Spencer, C&A and other brands. The current political mess and coup d'etat already putting in the option that EU will potentially withdraw of EBA arrangement on Myanmar. EBA - Everything but Arms will provide duty free access to the EUROPEAN UNION.

Industry analyst are positive that fashion retailer will shift new sourcing from other region, potentially towards Cambodia and Vietnam. Cambodia is a high likely destination as Cambodia had EBA arrangement with the EUROPEAN UNION.

Reference source

PCCS had strong footing in the garment industry in CAMBODIA. Their newly build factory "WAN HE DA MANUFACTURING COMPANY LIMITED" which completed in 2018 will be able to swing into full capacity soon. Capacity is 1.2billion pieces per month.



In addition, PCCS also have existing business with the affected fashion retailer (H&M, M&S, C&A) at Myanmar, hence industry expert will be seeing more orders from fashion retailer for PCCS garment factory at Cambodia.




I had to informed all my readers that I had vested interest in PCCS. If you are reading my earlier blog post, I am invested to PCCS for it's new business expansion into medical healthcare. However, the current situation happening in Myanmar could be just landing a big immediate windfall for PCCS current business operation in the garment industry.

My personal opinion is that the current situation in Myanmar will not end soon, just as how HongKong protest can drag into more than 6 months. As the current situation become more violence, fashion retailer will possibly sever ties with Myanmar. 

With demand looking to pick up in Q2 2021, there will be higher DEMAND and lesser SUPPLY due to the sudden shortage of production factory. Existing OEM manufacturer will be able to command better pricing and profit margin.

Will this situation turn the table upwards for PCCS, potentially going towards RM 1.50 ?





IMPORTANT NOTICE
Please be informed, I am not a professional or certified analyst. I am not a licensed consultant, just a normal retail investor. I am just sharing my ideas and opinion on the market outlook. Any company mentioned should not be interpreted as a buy/sell/trade call. Please do your own research and buy/sell/trade at your own risk.


For latest information, can join us at

Blog https://targetinvest88.blogspot.com
Telegram https://t.me/targetinvest88